Severe Weather on the Way?

Well its that time of year. Middle Tennessee's second severe weather season has arrived. With November, comes our secondary tornado season. So far the first two days of November have been nothing but beautiful. Looking ahead though, there are a few hints at the possibility of a few strong storms.

DAY 4-8 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK

NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN
OK 0339 AM CST SUN NOV 02 2008

...SEVERE STORMS POSSIBLE ACROSS THE
EAST CENTRAL PLAINS INTO THE MID AND LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY THIS COMING WEDNESDAY/THURSDAY... THE SPREAD AMONG MEDIUM
RANGE FORECAST MODELS AND MREF ENSEMBLE MEMBERS IS NOW REASONABLY LOW THROUGH THE MIDDLE TO LATTER PORTIONS OF THE COMING WORK WEEK. STRONG SURFACE CYCLOGENESIS IS PROGGED TO ACCOMPANY AN AMPLIFIED POLAR TROUGH EAST OF THE ROCKIES INTO THE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY BY WEDNESDAY/THURSDAY. WHILE IT APPEARS MOST PROBABLE THAT THE PRIMARY SURFACE LOW WILL TAKE A NORTHERN TRACK THROUGH THE NORTHERN PLAINS/UPPER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY...GUIDANCE IS SUGGESTIVE THAT A COLD FRONT/DRY LINE INTERSECTION ACROSS THE CENTRAL PLAINS WILL PROVIDE THE FOCUS FOR INTENSE CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT AS THE POLAR JET CORE BEGINS TO OVERSPREAD IT WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. AND...A SUBSTANTIVE RETURN FLOW OFF THE GULF OF MEXICO APPEARS LIKELY TO CONTRIBUTE TO SUFFICIENT INSTABILITY FOR A FEW SUPERCELLS IN THE PRESENCE OF STRONG SHEAR...BEFORE LARGE-SCALE FORCING SUPPORTS POSSIBLE UPSCALE GROWTH INTO AN EXTENSIVE SQUALL LINE WEDNESDAY NIGHT. ALTHOUGH THE WARM SECTOR MAY NOT BECOME PARTICULARLY BROAD...A STRONG/SEVERE SQUALL LINE MAY ADVANCE THROUGH MUCH OF THE MID AND LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY BY THURSDAYAFTERNOON...BEFORE ACTIVITY DIMINISHES AS THE CYCLONE OCCLUDES ACROSS THE UPPER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY. ..KERR..
11/02/2008

Well Im off to church now. Everyone have a great Sunday. God Bless.